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Summer outlook 2018
In our latest Quarterly Outlook series, we highlight the most significant risks in the main market sectors for the coming year. Read the previous outlook 2018 series here.
With strong supply-demand signals, external factors such as Washington’s policy preferences have become the strongest risks to shipping markets
Bullishness is justified for the most part, but trade risks and supply worries could prove obstacles
Owners face obstacles on the journey to freight recovery as trade growth remains lacklustre
Crunch time for owners as newbuilding interest has recovered even before product restocking occurs
A year and a half before the sulphur cap, attention needs to focus on enforcement
New rulings on the Hague Rules and time-barring of claims for awaiting orders could have profound implications in future shipping operations
Oversupply worries persists with large newbuilding tonnage, while high bunker bills erode earnings of carriers
Trade tensions, Chinese policies and supply disruptions may continue to affect market landscape even as fleet growth remains low
The down cycle has turned out longer and deeper than originally thought amid oversupply of tonnage
Regulation and higher interest rates are resulting in more risks for owners and lenders despite freight market recovery
Blockchain and broker consolidation in London may bring changes to the marine insurance industry in the coming quarters
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Near term, banks are lending less to shipping and sources of capital are getting tighter. Long term, shipping finance as we know it will disappear into corporate finance
‘Carriers and shipowners are going to find life much more difficult in defending cargo claims going forward. Where cargo had to show what they did wrong, the carriers have now got to show they did everything right,’ says Clyde & Co partner Andrew Nicholas
Understanding key legal developments and cases is an essential component of risk management
Marine insurers are heading into the uncharted waters of changing risk
The market is just past the cyclical nadir and on an upswing
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