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Summer outlook 2018

In our latest Quarterly Outlook series, we highlight the most significant risks in the main market sectors for the coming year. Read the previous outlook 2018 series here.

 

The power of externalities

With strong supply-demand signals, external factors such as Washington’s policy preferences have become the strongest risks to shipping markets

North America United States Containers

Five risks to check: LNG shipping

Bullishness is justified for the most part, but trade risks and supply worries could prove obstacles

US States China Tankers and Gas

Five risks to check: LPG shipping

Owners face obstacles on the journey to freight recovery as trade growth remains lacklustre

North America Asia Pacific India

Five risks to check: Product tankers

Crunch time for owners as newbuilding interest has recovered even before product restocking occurs

Tankers and Gas Products Mid-Year outlook

Quarterly Outlook: Regulation

A year and a half before the sulphur cap, attention needs to focus on enforcement

International EU IMO

Quarterly Outlook: Law

New rulings on the Hague Rules and time-barring of claims for awaiting orders could have profound implications in future shipping operations

Mid-Year outlook Law Political and Trade

Five risks to check: Container shipping

Oversupply worries persists with large newbuilding tonnage, while high bunker bills erode earnings of carriers

Containers Mid-Year outlook Bunkers

Five risks to check: Dry bulk shipping

Trade tensions, Chinese policies and supply disruptions may continue to affect market landscape even as fleet growth remains low

Asia Pacific China Europe

Five risks to check: Crude tankers

The down cycle has turned out longer and deeper than originally thought amid oversupply of tonnage

Tankers and Gas Mid-Year outlook VLCC

Five risks to check: Ship finance

Regulation and higher interest rates are resulting in more risks for owners and lenders despite freight market recovery

Asia Pacific China Finance

Quarterly Outlook: Insurance

Blockchain and broker consolidation in London may bring changes to the marine insurance industry in the coming quarters

United Kingdom Lloyds Mid-Year outlook

Latest From Market Outlooks

2021: Europe’s year for shipping’s regulations

The International Maritime Organization will likely finalise its short-term GHG emissions measure in 2021; but it is the European Commission that will step forward with a market-based measure proposal that could alter maritime regulations as we know them

IMO Environment

Low fleet growth lifts dry bulk spirits

Dry bulk markets should be entering a period of higher rates, given a downcycle that spanned four years from 2016; but uncertainty about the pace of the recovery post-pandemic is still causing some concern

International Dry Bulk

Can a bipolar tanker market find equilibrium in 2021?

The old shipping adage that cargo is king applies more than ever for 2021. A rising east-west divide, post-Trump geopolitical policies, and post-pandemic consumer behaviour are recasting tanker market dynamics over the next 12 months

International Annual Outlook

Fleet scarcity to boost 2021 LPG freight rates

Strong LPG fundamentals are expected to present the segment with healthy demand in the coming year, while tight fleet supply, driven by a heavy drydocking maintenance schedule for older vessels, will keep freight rates buoyant

Tankers and Gas Annual Outlook

Capacity management will be box shipping's new normal

Tight cost controls and strict capacity management got container lines through the crisis of 2020. Yet while the outlook for 2021 still remains clouded by the ongoing pandemic, the lessons learned this year will put lines in a strong position to manage the uncertainties of next year

International Containers

LNG industry finds light in the dark

Next year will see fewer cargo cancellations as existing LNG plants ramp up output, which will help boost LNG fleet utilisation, observers say

International Tankers and Gas
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