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Summer outlook 2018
In our latest Quarterly Outlook series, we highlight the most significant risks in the main market sectors for the coming year. Read the previous outlook 2018 series here.
With strong supply-demand signals, external factors such as Washington’s policy preferences have become the strongest risks to shipping markets
Bullishness is justified for the most part, but trade risks and supply worries could prove obstacles
Owners face obstacles on the journey to freight recovery as trade growth remains lacklustre
Crunch time for owners as newbuilding interest has recovered even before product restocking occurs
A year and a half before the sulphur cap, attention needs to focus on enforcement
New rulings on the Hague Rules and time-barring of claims for awaiting orders could have profound implications in future shipping operations
Oversupply worries persists with large newbuilding tonnage, while high bunker bills erode earnings of carriers
Trade tensions, Chinese policies and supply disruptions may continue to affect market landscape even as fleet growth remains low
The down cycle has turned out longer and deeper than originally thought amid oversupply of tonnage
Regulation and higher interest rates are resulting in more risks for owners and lenders despite freight market recovery
Blockchain and broker consolidation in London may bring changes to the marine insurance industry in the coming quarters
Latest From Market Outlooks
The total number of ships delivered in 2020 is expected to increase compared with last year, but a high number of deliveries will be delayed to 2021 and cancellations are increasing
Opec cartel navigating geopolitical and economic icebergs as oil market rebalances over 2020’s second half
The coronavirus pandemic has exposed shipping market weaknesses, yet resilience within each sector reveals an industry inching its way towards new solutions
The coronavirus disruption means major decisions have been put off or delayed — and the rest of the year is unlikely to change that
Freight rates to remain at depressed levels in the second half of the year
Shipping’s comparative resilience in the face of the coronavirus pandemic could help it gain more confidence among financiers who are used to seeing other businesses as a safer bet
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