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Summer outlook 2018

In our latest Quarterly Outlook series, we highlight the most significant risks in the main market sectors for the coming year. Read the previous outlook 2018 series here.

 

The power of externalities

With strong supply-demand signals, external factors such as Washington’s policy preferences have become the strongest risks to shipping markets

North America United States Containers

Five risks to check: LNG shipping

Bullishness is justified for the most part, but trade risks and supply worries could prove obstacles

US States China Tankers and Gas

Five risks to check: LPG shipping

Owners face obstacles on the journey to freight recovery as trade growth remains lacklustre

North America Asia Pacific India

Five risks to check: Product tankers

Crunch time for owners as newbuilding interest has recovered even before product restocking occurs

Tankers and Gas Mid-Year outlook US States

Quarterly Outlook: Regulation

A year and a half before the sulphur cap, attention needs to focus on enforcement

International EU IMO

Quarterly Outlook: Law

New rulings on the Hague Rules and time-barring of claims for awaiting orders could have profound implications in future shipping operations

Mid-Year outlook Law Political and Trade

Five risks to check: Container shipping

Oversupply worries persists with large newbuilding tonnage, while high bunker bills erode earnings of carriers

Containers Mid-Year outlook Bunkers

Five risks to check: Dry bulk shipping

Trade tensions, Chinese policies and supply disruptions may continue to affect market landscape even as fleet growth remains low

Asia Pacific China Europe

Five risks to check: Crude tankers

The down cycle has turned out longer and deeper than originally thought amid oversupply of tonnage

Tankers and Gas Mid-Year outlook VLCC

Five risks to check: Ship finance

Regulation and higher interest rates are resulting in more risks for owners and lenders despite freight market recovery

Asia Pacific China Finance

Quarterly Outlook: Insurance

Blockchain and broker consolidation in London may bring changes to the marine insurance industry in the coming quarters

United Kingdom Lloyds Mid-Year outlook

Latest From Market Outlooks

Banks make a cautious comeback in ship finance

Ted Petropoulos reviews the state of global ship finance and finds that a long-awaited recovery in bank lending to the industry in 2021 is already showing signs of stalling in 2022

Finance Market Insight

LPG: Looking to China for demand boost

Globally, the LPG trade is expected to rise by 3.9% in 2022 to 116.9m tonnes

International Tankers and Gas

Russia adds compound interest to shipping’s challenges

The accumulation of disruption and supply chain shocks are transforming global trade as governments and businesses look to exchange efficiency for security

Mid-Year outlook Market Outlooks

Tankers: Demand destruction threatens market turnaround

Not every vessel size will benefit from a significant recalibration of oil and refined product trades at a time of extreme geopolitical and global economic uncertainty

International Tankers and Gas

Marine insurance: More stable P&I rates, more expensive H&M

The International Group is about to shrink from 13 members to 12, with mixed predictions on the impact on shipowners; but can another renewal round characterised by stiff rate hikes be avoided?

Insurance Mid-Year outlook

Iran and Venezuela show Russia a sanctions-skirting template

Sanctions on Russia amid self-sanctioning by Western oil traders have already upended oil markets; incoming bans on crude and refined products cargoes, shipping and marine insurance and reinsurance will further disrupt global tanker trade flows

Mid-Year outlook Market Outlooks
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