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Summer outlook 2018

In our latest Quarterly Outlook series, we highlight the most significant risks in the main market sectors for the coming year. Read the previous outlook 2018 series here.

 

The power of externalities

With strong supply-demand signals, external factors such as Washington’s policy preferences have become the strongest risks to shipping markets

North America United States Containers

Five risks to check: LNG shipping

Bullishness is justified for the most part, but trade risks and supply worries could prove obstacles

US States China Tankers and Gas

Five risks to check: LPG shipping

Owners face obstacles on the journey to freight recovery as trade growth remains lacklustre

North America Asia Pacific India

Five risks to check: Product tankers

Crunch time for owners as newbuilding interest has recovered even before product restocking occurs

Tankers and Gas Mid-Year outlook US States

Quarterly Outlook: Regulation

A year and a half before the sulphur cap, attention needs to focus on enforcement

International EU IMO

Quarterly Outlook: Law

New rulings on the Hague Rules and time-barring of claims for awaiting orders could have profound implications in future shipping operations

Mid-Year outlook Law Political and Trade

Five risks to check: Container shipping

Oversupply worries persists with large newbuilding tonnage, while high bunker bills erode earnings of carriers

Containers Mid-Year outlook Bunkers

Five risks to check: Dry bulk shipping

Trade tensions, Chinese policies and supply disruptions may continue to affect market landscape even as fleet growth remains low

Asia Pacific China Europe

Five risks to check: Crude tankers

The down cycle has turned out longer and deeper than originally thought amid oversupply of tonnage

Tankers and Gas Mid-Year outlook VLCC

Five risks to check: Ship finance

Regulation and higher interest rates are resulting in more risks for owners and lenders despite freight market recovery

Asia Pacific China Finance

Quarterly Outlook: Insurance

Blockchain and broker consolidation in London may bring changes to the marine insurance industry in the coming quarters

United Kingdom Lloyds Mid-Year outlook

Latest From Market Outlooks

The Lloyd’s List Podcast: Five key forecasts for shipping

Lloyd’s List’s latest quarterly outlook for shipping examines the trends across all shipping sectors, so for this week’s edition of the podcast the editorial team have gathered around the microphone to offer their view of what happens next in containers, tankers, dry bulk, the orderbook and regulation

Lloyd's List The Shipping Podcast Market Outlooks

Have we reached peak uncertainty?

Lloyd’s List’s latest shipping health check remains largely unchanged from the last quarter, but the uncertainty that lies beyond requires strategic thinking, not procrastination. Shipping may have reached peak uncertainty, but we could now be approaching peak everything

Market Outlooks Political Risk and Trade

Tankers: Russia to the rescue for ‘putrid’ market

Crude, product and fuel oil seaborne trades are being recalibrated, as higher insurance costs and sanctions on Russia’s oil and gas sector lift spot rates for smaller tankers

Tankers and Gas Market Outlooks

LNG: Generational energy crisis ensnares fleet

Disruption from the global pandemic, followed by geopolitical turmoil that imperils European energy security, is driving record volatility across all oil and gas sectors

International Market Outlooks

LPG: Shipping on rough seas

With higher LPG prices expected to soften cargo demand and a hefty vessel orderbook due for delivery, earnings of vessels — especially the large-sized tonnage — are under pressure

Tankers and Gas Political Risk and Trade

Offshore wind: Picking up speed

The Russia-Ukraine crisis has sparked an acceleration in project development in Europe as the continent seeks to become energy independent; floating offshore wind is also gaining momentum

Offshore Market Outlooks
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