Spring Outlook 2018
In our Spring Outlook market series, we find most participants are taking a glass half-full approach. Read the previous outlook 2018 series here
Supply-demand balances are improving in box, dry bulk, oil and gas shipping sectors as shipping confidence index rises further
US exports and Chinese imports are driving up tonne-mile demand, boosting earnings outlook despite high fleet growth
LPG shipping markets may gradually recover this year on US exports and slowing fleet growth
Market sentiment in the product tanker spectrum has been firming even as a sustainable earnings recovery still seems months away
Environmental regulation is the long-term trend, but shipping must first contend with a wide-reaching transparency regulation coming soon
Technology and industry consolidation are making the marine insurance sector stir up historically high levels of interest
Recovery ground remains shaky on potential regulatory changes and continued newbuilding orders
Forecast earnings in Lloyd's List survey rise as supply-demand balance continues to improve
Most market players hold a dim view over earnings prospects this year even as rising scrapping volume could pave way to recovery
Several cases before the London courts are tied up with the actions of some of the world’s more controversial regimes
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The International Maritime Organization will likely finalise its short-term GHG emissions measure in 2021; but it is the European Commission that will step forward with a market-based measure proposal that could alter maritime regulations as we know them
Dry bulk markets should be entering a period of higher rates, given a downcycle that spanned four years from 2016; but uncertainty about the pace of the recovery post-pandemic is still causing some concern
The old shipping adage that cargo is king applies more than ever for 2021. A rising east-west divide, post-Trump geopolitical policies, and post-pandemic consumer behaviour are recasting tanker market dynamics over the next 12 months
Strong LPG fundamentals are expected to present the segment with healthy demand in the coming year, while tight fleet supply, driven by a heavy drydocking maintenance schedule for older vessels, will keep freight rates buoyant
Tight cost controls and strict capacity management got container lines through the crisis of 2020. Yet while the outlook for 2021 still remains clouded by the ongoing pandemic, the lessons learned this year will put lines in a strong position to manage the uncertainties of next year
Next year will see fewer cargo cancellations as existing LNG plants ramp up output, which will help boost LNG fleet utilisation, observers say
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