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Spring Outlook 2018
In our Spring Outlook market series, we find most participants are taking a glass half-full approach. Read the previous outlook 2018 series here
Supply-demand balances are improving in box, dry bulk, oil and gas shipping sectors as shipping confidence index rises further
US exports and Chinese imports are driving up tonne-mile demand, boosting earnings outlook despite high fleet growth
LPG shipping markets may gradually recover this year on US exports and slowing fleet growth
Market sentiment in the product tanker spectrum has been firming even as a sustainable earnings recovery still seems months away
Environmental regulation is the long-term trend, but shipping must first contend with a wide-reaching transparency regulation coming soon
Technology and industry consolidation are making the marine insurance sector stir up historically high levels of interest
Recovery ground remains shaky on potential regulatory changes and continued newbuilding orders
Forecast earnings in Lloyd's List survey rise as supply-demand balance continues to improve
Most market players hold a dim view over earnings prospects this year even as rising scrapping volume could pave way to recovery
Several cases before the London courts are tied up with the actions of some of the world’s more controversial regimes
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Latest From Market Outlooks
While some in the market are expecting freight rate increases of up to 20%, others are more lukewarm. In any case, capesizes should be able to benefit with an anticipated rise in iron ore volumes from Brazil versus a muted 2019, while minor bulks will be hit by Indonesia’s ban on nickel ore exports
Container trade is forecast to have increased by 2% to 1.3bn tonnes in 2019. In 2020, growth is projected to 4.9% driven by strong intra-Asian trade but also firm growth on the main trade lanes
Even as sentiment for liquefied petroleum gas shipping is veering towards an improvement in the fortunes of owners as 2020 rolls on, those often unexpected outages, like the ones witnessed this year, still loom large in many minds. However, an intriguing demand story for LPG and moderate supply growth points towards a strong 2020 for LPG shipping
The 2020 fortunes of the crude and tanker market can be distilled into five elements — sanctions, storage, scrubbers, sulphur and supply — which will determine the direction for a sector finally seeing reasons for cheer after a protracted rates decline
The implementation of the sulphur cap and an impending decabronisation measure — either from London or Brussels — will dominate next year
The outlook for P&I and hull insurance can be summed up in two words: ‘more expensive’, thanks to the cull of the worst-performers at Lloyd’s, which has seen over 30 underwriters decide to axe at least one marine line
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