Lloyd's List is part of Informa PLC

This site is operated by a business or businesses owned by Informa PLC and all copyright resides with them. Informa PLC’s registered office is 5 Howick Place, London SW1P 1WG. Registered in England and Wales. Number 8860726.

This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use. For high-quality copies or electronic reprints for distribution to colleagues or customers, please call UK support at +44 (0)20 3377 3996 / APAC support at +65 6508 2430

Printed By

UsernamePublicRestriction
UsernamePublicRestriction

Load Factors

Lloyd’s List’s load factors provides freight-rate forecasts for the coming quarters based on projections of estimated vessel utilisation on the major trade lanes. The fuller the ship, the more likely rates will rise and vice versa. Supply and demand forecasts are based on the latest information from all sources available to the editorial team.

Data Hub: Load Factors

Freight rate forecasts for the coming quarters based on projections of estimated vessel utilisation on the major trade lanes

Advertisement
Advertisement

MDST Methodology

Utilisation level: our utilisation levels are based on allocated capacity and allocated demand estimated as follow: 

Allocated capacity: capacity estimated in our model to calculate the level of utilisation; it represents, effectively, the available TEU capacity (i.e. we reduce the deployed capacity to reflect the limitations of deadweight and high-cube boxes) modelled on a global basis but taking each string and its precise port calls into account.  We then allocate this capacity by taking into account the demand (region-to-region) making assumptions on direct services versus transhipment. In effect this takes into account the fact of way-port cargoes but at a region-to-region level rather than port-to-port level. 

Allocated demand: once all services have been broken down into region to region routes with capacity allocated, region to region demand is distributed equally across all services offering capacity for the route. Where demand is less than the capacity offered, the spare capacity is made available for routes where demand exceeds capacity. This “excess” demand is then conveyed by two or three routes that connect its origin and destination (interlining). Connectivity along the lowest cost available routes is the sole criteria for allocating this demand with no distinction being made between operators, transit time or any other quality of service parameter.

Latest From Containers Data Hub

Global box volume growth brakes sharply

Latest CTS figures show global volume growth at 1.3% in the first six months of 2019 against 4.5% at the halfway mark last year

International North America

Two-tier box charter market extends through mid-year

With larger tonnage in demand to cover scrubber retrofits, a two-tier charter market has been created, with vessels in excess of 6,000 teu commanding increasing rates as smaller ships lose ground

International Containers

Carrier peak season fortunes in the balance

Asia-Europe carriers are facing a capacity glut in the third quarter of the year, as transpacific carriers look to other trade partners to pick-up the slack of weakening China cargoes

Asia Pacific Europe

Trade war dims charter market sentiment

Owners will have to withdraw transpacific capacity if proposed tariffs come into effect, leaving chartered tonnage due for expiry in 2019 heavily exposed, according to MSI analysts Daniel Richards

Containers International

How Trump is affecting transpacific trade

America’s newfound determination to trade on a level playing field has led to a reconfiguration of some marine trafic and Brazil’s soya farm industry has been one of the benefactors of the US-Sino trade spat

Asia Pacific North America

Global box traffic knocked by China's early holidays

Transpacific box numbers for February hit by frontloading in the latter stages of last year, with volumes down more than 16%

Asia Pacific North America
See All

More from the Data Hub

Freight Rates

World Container Index assessed by Drewry

Drewry Shipping Consultants compiles the World Container Index, a composite of freight rates on eight major routes to/from the US, Europe and Asia

Freight Rates

The CTS Global Aggregated Price Index

Independent monthly price index. Information on all lines belonging to World Liner Data

Supply & Demand

Load Factors

Freight-rate forecasts for the coming quarters based on projections of estimated vessel utilisation on the major trade lanes

Trade Volumes

Global Container Trade Volumes

Container Trades Statistics is an independent company that collects and aggregates cargo volumes from container lines that belong to World Liner Data Ltd, and, using sources from Lines’ financial and other information to estimate 100% of the trades

Charter Rates

New ConTex

The Hamburg Shipbrokers Association publishes the New ConTex index of time charter rates for six selected ship types, which are representative of their size categories, based on information provided by 17 independent shipbroker panellists

Fleet Statistics

Carriers Containership Fleets

Alphaliner, the leading industry data provider, produces a constantly updated and consolidated ranking of the largest containership operators as well as global capacity figures

UsernamePublicRestriction

Register

LL1120990

Ask The Analyst

Please Note: You can also Click below Link for Ask the Analyst
Ask The Analyst

Your question has been successfully sent to the email address below and we will get back as soon as possible. my@email.address.

All fields are required.

Please make sure all fields are completed.

Please make sure you have filled out all fields

Please make sure you have filled out all fields

Please enter a valid e-mail address

Please enter a valid Phone Number

Ask your question to our analysts

Cancel